U.S. Macro Model and Forecast Coverage
U.S. Macro Model
The Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy is at the core of Global Insight's U.S. Macroeconomic Service. We provide you with access to the same quarterly model that we use for forecasting, allowing you to set up your own alternative scenarios and conduct "what-if" exercises.
Global Insight's Model of the U.S. Economy is the most in-depth, detailed model of the U.S. commercially available and:
- Features approximately 2000 economic, financial, and business concepts and indexes
- Accurately measures changes in the composition of the economy, with over 1500 equations tracking different aspects of economic activity
- Is driven by aggregate demand in the short run, while constrained by aggregate supply (labor, capital stock, productivity) in the long run
- Includes forecasts available in either AREMOS or EViews software
- Monthly updates of the 10-year baseline forecast
- Semi-annual updates of the full 30-year baseline forecast
Global Insight Forecast Coverage
All short-term (10-year) forecasts and the semi-annual long-term (30-year) forecasts feature the full range of detail available in Global Insight's U.S. Macro model:
- Composition of real GDP in detail and nominal GDP
- Consumer spending by detailed sector
- Business investment (equipment and software) by detailed sector
- Business investment (structures) by detailed sector
- Inventory accumulation by sector
- Housing and construction (including housing starts, sales, prices, and affordability)
- Government spending (federal, state and local)
- Exports and imports (major goods and service categories)
- Prices and wages, including producer prices by major commodity, consumer price aggregates, and detailed national income accounts price indexes
- Financial market indicators (Treasury yield curve, other short- and long-term rates, money aggregates, credit aggregates, mortgage loans, stock market index, earnings, cost of funds)
- Energy prices, production, and usage
- Industrial production by sector
- Balance of payments account by major category, international investment position
- Employment by sector
- GDP, GNP, national income, and its distribution
- Personal income in detail: corporate profits
- Household wealth, debt, and financial obligations
- Federal, state, and local budget balances
- Vehicle sales, stocks, and prices
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